Foundations

AI-first strategy and business model

An AI-first strategy is a short list of decisions: how far to go, what to aim for, and what to buy or build. This page sets them out, with the evidence for each.

In short

  • Decide how far you are going: better tools, redesigned functions, or new products.
  • Companies that report the most value from AI aim for growth or innovation, not only savings.
  • Buying usually beats building for smaller firms.
  • Do not base the plan on a maturity score, an exposure score or another company’s memo.

For what AI-first means, see the guide.

Three levels of ambition

The consultancy BCG separates three plays (BCG, 2024):

  • Deploy off-the-shelf tools across the workforce.
  • Reshape whole functions around AI.
  • Invent new products and services built on AI.

BCG estimates the productivity gain from Deploy at 10–15% and from Reshape at 30–50%. The framework is useful as a question: which of the three are you planning for? Only the second and third change how the company works, which is what AI-first means.

Aim beyond cost

In McKinsey’s 2025 survey, 80% of respondents said their company set efficiency as a goal for AI. The companies reporting the most value often set growth or innovation as goals as well. They were more than three times as likely as others to say they intend to use AI to transform their business.

The opposite case is on record too. Klarna judged its customer-service AI mainly on cost and later said quality had suffered (Customer Experience Dive).

Buy or build

  • The case for buying. A 2025 MIT study, as reported by Fortune, found that buying AI tools from specialised vendors and building partnerships succeeded about 67% of the time, far more often than internal builds (Fortune).
  • A result that points the other way. In a survey of 179 leaders in Poland, internal builds did markedly better at the proof-of-concept stage than purchased software.
  • Size settles most of it. A firm with no data or IT specialists cannot maintain what it builds. For micro, small and medium-sized firms the practical model is to buy, set up and govern.

What changes in the business model

AI-first can change a business model in three places.

  • Cost to serve. Routine work costs less. The saving is real only if quality holds, so measure both.
  • Speed. Work that took days can take hours. That can become something you sell: faster quotes, faster answers, faster delivery.
  • New offerings. Some companies build products on their own data. Stripe, for example, says a payments model trained on its transaction data raised its detection of one type of card fraud by 64% (TechCrunch).

Most companies will change the first two long before the third. Work out which tasks are involved before you promise anything: map tasks before deciding what to automate.

What not to base the plan on

  • A maturity score. Evidence that a higher score leads to better results is thin and disputed. See do not treat a maturity score as a forecast.
  • An exposure score. A figure for how much of a job AI “could” do shows potential. Across 23 countries, more exposed occupations did not lose employment overall (study).
  • Another company’s memo. An announcement says what a company intends. It does not say whether it worked. See what does not count as evidence.
  • Reported returns. Return-on-investment figures from surveys of business leaders are opinions. Your own baseline is worth more.

Practices

Practices on strategy and on finding out where you stand. What to do first comes first.